Politico: 2016 Democratic Primary Election Results Could be Off by 12.82%

Politico.com is reporting on our 12.82% estimate that the 2016 Democratic primary results could be off. This estimate is based on new data generated from our report "An Electoral System in Crisis," developed with support from Election Justice USA.

Using the statistical analysis generated in the report, we compared the expected statistical pattern to the reported vote totals. We included the 11 states that we had the most comprehensive analysis of, out of the 21 states that we examined, and came up with an average of 12.82% that the results could be off. This would potentially be enough to change the outcome of the election, especially when combined with estimates of other irregularities such as voter suppression and registration tampering that Election Justice USA has demonstrated took place.

Please look at this blog post for graphs of the estimates of two of the states, Louisiana and Illinois. We will post the entire table and more graphs tomorrow.

Here is the Politico article:

"Three Washington state delegates who backed Bernie Sanders slammed the Democratic Party on Thursday for its "manufactured" sense of unity, while circulating data from Election Justice USA that suggested there were voting "anomalies" during the primary contest.

The announcement follows their participation in a silent walk out of the Democratic National Convention on Tuesday.

“We are concerned with the manufactured ‘unity’ narrative in the media and are fighting for the soul of the Democratic Party and Democracy,” said Jessa Lewis, Jessica Justice and Joshua Trupin in their statement, citing concerns over leaked Democratic National Committee emails discussing Sanders' religious beliefs and “offering federal appointments in exchange for big donations.”

The Election Justice USA report said there were widespread statistical anomalies in at least 21 states that could be sufficient to call the results of our candidate selection process into question.” Their data shows that among the 21 states they've examined so fa, [sic] the average difference between the reported vote totals and the expected statistical pattern was 12.82 percent — a margin that could have shifted election results.

The group attributes this to faulty electronic voting technology, ultimately calling for “decertification of the 2016 Democratic primary results in suspect states” as well as a move to a hard copy voting process consisting of “universal hand counted paper ballots with secure chain of custody and transparent processing that is open to the public and the media.”

By Caroline Kelly

To those who would like to sweep this information under the carpet, and move on to the general election; we point out that one election that is based on manipulated votes, will likely be followed by another. Those who truly want their candidate to win, must come to understand this real and present danger. We recommend that supporters of all candidates work with election integrity groups, like Election Justice USA, to implement hand-counted paper ballots in as many counties as possible by November. These counts will need secure chain of custody and transparent processing that is open to scrutiny by the public and the media,